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Estimate Super Bowl QR Code Scan Rate Using Historical Data

CoinbaseData Scientist · Technical Screen

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This interview question evaluates metric design, causal reasoning, experiment setup, diagnostics, SQL/statistical checks, and recommendations in a realistic interview setting. A strong answer for Estimate Super Bowl QR Code Scan Rate Using Historical Data states assumptions, handles edge cases, explains trade-offs, and shows how to validate the result clearly.

Scenario

Super Bowl TV ad featuring a QR code; company wants to project funnel performance from view to sign-up.

Question

Estimate what percentage of viewers will scan the on-screen QR code during the Super Bowl broadcast. Describe how you would leverage historical data to build that estimate. If conversion-rate data from past QR campaigns is owned by the ad agency and only TV-company data are available, how would you still approximate the scan rate? After a user scans the code, how would you estimate the conversion rate from landing-page visit to sign-up?

Hints

Lay out a funnel, justify priors with comparable events, adjust for audience size and engagement, and state key assumptions.