Annotating and forecasting a long‑tail distribution
MetaData Scientist · OnsiteLast updated
Evaluates robust summarization and forecasting for long-tailed daily share-count distributions. Strong answers compute mean, median, P1, P99, visualize with log scales or percentile bands, and forecast seasonality with heavy-tail-aware methods.
Scenario:
Page share counts show a heavy‑tail. Annotate key stats (mean, median, P1, P 99) and provide a forecast for future share volumes.
Question 1:
Given long‑tail shares distribution, how would you annotate mean, median, P1, P99 and forecast trend? (Hint: quantile smoothing, seasonal decomposition)
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